Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001438 0.001609 0.001781 0.001968 0.002164 0.002364 0.002581
2025-01-05 0.001194 0.001440 0.001698 0.001985 0.002295 0.002618 0.002977
2025-01-12 0.001015 0.001318 0.001647 0.002023 0.002438 0.002878 0.003376
2025-01-19 0.000805 0.001142 0.001519 0.001964 0.002467 0.003009 0.003632
2025-01-26 0.000657 0.001019 0.001440 0.001950 0.002537 0.003180 0.003930
2025-02-02 0.000532 0.000910 0.001367 0.001935 0.002601 0.003341 0.004213
2025-02-09 0.000476 0.000881 0.001385 0.002022 0.002779 0.003630 0.004638
2025-02-16 0.000393 0.000806 0.001339 0.002028 0.002861 0.003806 0.004935
2025-02-23 0.000292 0.000691 0.001234 0.001956 0.002844 0.003865 0.005097
2025-03-02 0.000211 0.000593 0.001142 0.001893 0.002833 0.003926 0.005257
2025-03-09 0.000148 0.000511 0.001063 0.001841 0.002831 0.003995 0.005424
2025-03-16 0.000104 0.000449 0.001007 0.001813 0.002856 0.004093 0.005622
2025-03-23 0.000066 0.000396 0.000974 0.001836 0.002970 0.004330 0.006023
2025-03-30 0.000038 0.000351 0.000949 0.001870 0.003100 0.004590 0.006457
2025-04-06 0.000019 0.000315 0.000935 0.001917 0.003249 0.004877 0.006927
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000246 0.000856 0.001868 0.003271 0.005007 0.007213
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000200 0.000807 0.001859 0.003343 0.005199 0.007571
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000159 0.000760 0.001848 0.003411 0.005384 0.007922
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000150 0.000778 0.001935 0.003611 0.005735 0.008474
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000122 0.000747 0.001943 0.003702 0.005948 0.008858
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000081 0.000670 0.001874 0.003683 0.006020 0.009069
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000050 0.000603 0.001813 0.003672 0.006099 0.009286
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000028 0.000546 0.001763 0.003673 0.006191 0.009517